27 Jun 2022 | 12:56 PM UTC
Myanmar: Armed clashes likely to continue in Shan State through at least late July /update 1
Armed clashes likely in Shan State, Myanmar, through at least late July. Further violence likely. Tight security measures likely.
Event
Additional clashes between militant groups and the Myanmar military (Tatmadaw) are likely to continue in Shan State through at least late July following recent clashes. Fighting involving several groups, including the People's Defense Forces (PDF), has been reported in Mabein, Muse, and Pekon townships. Additional fighting is especially likely in northern areas. The Tatmadaw has conducted artillery strikes on villages in conflict zones. Thousands of civilians have been displaced in areas where fighting has broken out. Fighting could spread to other areas of the state and possibly adjacent communities in neighboring states.
Authorities will almost certainly maintain heightened security, including checkpoints and road closures, in the affected areas in the coming weeks. Militant groups will probably also maintain increased patrols in the region. Violence is likely to affect transport in the area, especially roads connecting townships.
Advice
Consider deferring nonessential travel to the affected areas until tensions subside and renewed fighting becomes less likely. Reach out to trusted local contacts to determine security conditions, as reporting is often delayed. Carry proper identification documents to present at security checks and heed all instructions from security personnel; remain cooperative if stopped for inspections. If operating in the affected region, maintain contact with your diplomatic mission.
