Libya: Heightened security likely in Tripoli through at least late Agust /update 3

Event

The Libyan Government of National Unity (GNU) will likely maintain a heightened security posture in Tripoli through at least late August amid continued tensions with militias loyal to the Government of National Stability (GNS) headed by Prime Minister Fathi Bashagha. Clashes have regularly erupted between rival militias in recent weeks, notably on July 22, when they killed 16 people and wounded 52 others.

Troop movements are likely in and around Tripoli when militia groups opposing the GNU attempt to congregate in the capital. Further confrontations between opposing groups are possible. Militia deployments could cause disruptions to state operations; transport and business disruptions are also possible.

Context

Libya is in a political stalemate as both the GNU's Abdulhamid al-Dbeibah and the GNS lay claim to the country's premiership. The two competing governments that they lead are jockeying for the country's centers of power and resources. This political division - in addition to the presence of foreign actors with competing interests - has complicated the country's security dynamics. So long as the political disunity continues, Libya will continue to suffer from clashes among rival militia groups in Tripoli and elsewhere in the country.

Advice

Avoid clashes and all areas where armed groups appear to be gathering. Should violence erupt, depart the area immediately and seek shelter in a secure location while staying away from windows and exterior walls. Plan for ground travel delays. Maintain contact with diplomatic representations.