08 Nov 2022 | 07:59 AM UTC
South Africa: Adverse weather forecast over central and eastern regions through at least Nov. 8 /update 1
Heavy rainfall forecast over parts of central and eastern South Africa through at least Nov. 8. Flooding and disruptions possible.
Event
Heavy rainfall is forecast across many parts of central and eastern South Africa through at least Nov. 8. The affected area includes parts of central and eastern Eastern Cape, Free State, Gauteng, western KwaZulu-Natal (KZN), most of Limpopo, most of Mpumalanga, and most of North West provinces. The most significant downpours are expected over parts of Free State, Gauteng, and North West provinces, with daily rainfall totals of at least 3-6 cm (1.2-2.4 inches) forecast. Heavy downpours could lead to flash and urban flooding in some areas. Water, sanitation, and power disruptions are possible.
As of early Nov. 8, the South African Weather Service has issued the following weather warnings across the affected area:
Orange Level 6 (of 10) Disruptive Rain Warnings: Parts of northeastern Eastern Cape Province
Orange Level 5 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: Gauteng, western Limpopo, and western Mpumalanga provinces
Yellow Level 2 Disruptive Rain and Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: the rest of the affected area
Officials could update and possibly extend the coverage of weather alerts over the coming days.
Sustained heavy rainfall could trigger flooding in low-lying communities near rivers, streams, and creeks. Urban flooding is also possible in developed areas with easily overwhelmed stormwater drainage systems. Sites located downstream from large reservoirs or rivers may be subject to flash flooding after relatively short periods of intense rainfall. Landslides are possible in hilly or mountainous areas, especially where heavy rainfall has saturated the soil.
Authorities could issue mandatory evacuation orders for flood-prone communities over the coming days. Disruptions to electricity and telecommunications services are possible where significant flooding or landslides impact utility networks.
Floodwaters and debris flows may render some bridges, rail networks, or roadways impassable, impacting overland travel in and around affected areas. Ponding on road surfaces could cause hazardous driving conditions on regional highways. Authorities could temporarily close some low-lying routes that become inundated by floodwaters.
Severe weather could also trigger flight delays and cancellations at airports across the affected region. Flooding could block regional rail lines; freight and passenger train delays and cancellations are likely in areas that see heavy rainfall and potential track inundation.
Localized business disruptions may occur in low-lying areas; some businesses might not operate at full capacity because of flood damage to facilities, possible evacuations, and some employees' inability to reach work sites.
Advice
Monitor local media for weather updates and related advisories. Confirm all transport reservations and business appointments before travel. Reconfirm the status of road routes before travel. Make allowances for localized travel delays and potential supply chain disruptions where flooding has been forecast. Do not drive on flooded roads. Charge battery-powered devices in the case of prolonged electricity outages.
