Sudan: Nationwide protests likely through at least late December despite signing of framework agreement /update 10

Event

Nationwide protests are likely to persist in urban centers, especially Khartoum, through at least late December. Activists have called for further demonstrations denouncing the recent political framework agreement between the military and Sudanese political parties signed Dec. 5. The exact times and locations of the protests remain unclear as of Dec. 6; however, protesters are likely to gather in city centers, near major government buildings, and along major highways.

Authorities will almost certainly deploy a heightened security presence along key thoroughfares, near government buildings, and amid any protest activity that may materialize. Especially tight security is likely around the presidential palace in Khartoum, which has been a focal point for protest action. Security forces may close bridges in the Khartoum area to prevent protesters from gathering; activists could also block roads. Clashes between security forces and demonstrators are likely; Sudanese authorities are generally quick to use force in dispersing protests. Business and telecommunications disruptions are possible in areas affected by protest activity. Officials could suspend telecommunications and internet services if unrest escalates.

Context

The recently signed deal aims to end the impasse between security and political elites, which lasted nearly a year following the Oct. 25, 2021, military coup. In accordance with the signed framework, a transitional civilian government headed by a prime minister will be in place for two years before elections are held; the military - which has been in control since the coup - would only be represented on the Security and Defense Council. However, the deal received strong resistance from several groups, including by Sudanese Resistance Committee (SRC), saying the agreement restores a partnership between political and security elites, betraying the aspiration of the 120 people who were killed in anti-coup protests.

Advice

Avoid all protests due to the likelihood of clashes. Exercise caution near potential demonstration sites. Leave immediately and take refuge in a secure nongovernmental building if violence erupts. Monitor local media for details concerning protest activity, as organizers may not announce plans in advance. Follow the instructions of local authorities.