Somalia: Insecurity will almost certainly persist in Sool Region through early January /update 2

Event

Insecurity will almost certainly persist in Sool Region, Somaliland, through early January in response to ongoing anti-government unrest and recent armed conflict. Puntland security forces reportedly deployed towards Las Anod Jan. 1 and engaged Somaliland forces in the Tukaraq area. The Sool Region is disputed between the two sides. There have been no immediate reports of casualties.

The engagement follows ongoing civil unrest in Las Anod. Anti-government protests and clashes between security forces and protesters have been occurring for several days leaving dozens of people dead or injured. The latest confrontations were reported, Jan. 1. Telecommunications were reportedly cut by officials in the area, Jan. 1. Protesters are denouncing political assassinations targeting opposition figures. They allege the administration of Somaliland President Muse Bihi Abdi has orchestrated the attacks. This latest unrest, which began Dec. 27, was sparked by the murder of a local politician.

Security personnel are likely to remain deployed in the area in the coming days. Further confrontations between protesters and the security forces are likely. Clashes and casualties could spark further rounds of unrest. Officials could impose movement restrictive measures to contain the unrest, including curfews and road closures. Further restrictions on communications may occur. Protesters could also block roads with debris. Demonstrations either in support or in opposition to the unrest could occur elsewhere in Somaliland. The involvement of Puntland forces increases the threat of escalation. Further skirmishes could occur in Sool or along the disputed frontier between Somaliland and Puntland.

Advice

Consider avoiding nonessential travel near or along the de facto border between Somaliland and Puntland until the situation stabilizes. Avoid all protests and do not attempt to navigate roadblocks due to possible violence. Avoid concentrations of security personnel. If clashes break out, leave the area immediately. Heed all security and traffic advisories. Maintain contact with your diplomatic representation.