Cambodia: General election to occur nationwide July 23

Event

Cambodia is set to hold its general elections July 23. Around 9.7 million Cambodians nationwide will vote for 125 National Assembly seats. The official campaign period will occur July 1-21, with 18 political parties registered to contest.

Campaign activities will probably increase in the run-up to the vote. Campaign rallies and parades are likely in major cities like Phnom Penh, but local authorities could implement restrictions on related events. The ruling Cambodia People's Party (CPP) will likely attract the largest crowds; up to a few thousand people could attend any rallies. Protests by pro-democracy and rights activists and supporters of the disqualified Candlelight Party are also possible. Allegations of electoral fraud or the suppression of opposition parties could lead to civil unrest during and after the election. Gatherings will likely occur at prominent roadways and intersections, public squares, and landmarks. Popular rally locations in Phnom Penh include City Hall, Freedom Park, Veng Sreng Boulevard, and Wat Botum Park.

Authorities will almost certainly bolster security in the lead-up to and on election day. Heightened security measures, including roadblocks, are possible during larger campaign events and at polling stations and counting centers. Authorities could shut down any political rallies or protests perceived to violate campaign restrictions. Clashes between security forces and protesters or rival groups of supporters are possible. Increased security measures can result in localized business and transport disruptions.

Context

The ruling Cambodian People's Party (CPP) currently holds all seats in parliament and Prime Minister Hun Sen, who has been in power since 1985, will seek another five-year term in office. However, the upcoming general election in July will probably be largely unopposed for the CPP, as the election commission has disqualified the country's main opposition Candlelight Party. Activists have accused the government of politically motivated actions concerning the disqualification, which parallels the previous ban enforced on the opposition Cambodian National Rescue Party (CNRP) prior to the 2018 election. To prevent a potential boycott of the election, the government has amended an election law prohibiting individuals who do not vote from running as candidates in future elections.

Advice

Avoid all demonstrations, political rallies, political party offices, and polling stations through July 23 as a precaution. Seek updated information from local, trusted sources on election rallies and associated disruptions. Use alternative routes to avoid election-related events; allow additional time to reach destinations. Always carry valid identification and be prepared to display documents at checkpoints. Heed all instructions from security personnel.