Afghanistan, Pakistan: Additional demonstrations likely near Chaman-Spin Boldak border crossing through at least late October following recent protest activity

Event

Additional demonstrations will likely occur near the Chaman-Spin Boldak border crossing connecting Afghanistan and Pakistan through at least late October following recent protest activity in Chaman. In recent days, thousands of activists affiliated with the All Parties' Traders Alliance have staged various protests, including sit-ins and road blockades, to denounce the Pakistani government's decision to limit cross-border travel to those with a valid passport and visa from Nov. 1. Demonstrators previously blocked the main highway linking Quetta and Kandahar on Oct. 21, causing significant transport disruptions; as of Oct. 23, protest organizers have threatened to continue to stage sit-in demonstrations until Pakistani authorities satisfy their demand to rescind the decision. Similar demonstrations by other groups could occur in Chaman and have the potential to spread to other areas. Potential gathering sites include police stations, government buildings, public squares, and thoroughfares. Well-attended gatherings will probably draw thousands of participants.

Authorities will almost certainly maintain an increased security presence near the impacted border crossing. Officials could impose enhanced security restrictions, including temporary border closures and/or public movement restrictions, depending on protest developments. Isolated security incidents, including small-scale bomb attacks, cannot be ruled out. Further transport disruptions are likely. Clashes between police and activists are possible. Localized business disruptions, including shipping delays, are possible if the civil unrest persists.

Context

The recent demonstrations near the Chaman-Spin Boldak border crossing are in direct response to Pakistan's decision to enforce tighter immigration-related restrictions vis-à-vis Afghanistan. This policy change, influenced by heightened cross-border tensions and attacks, has led to significant public opposition, with protesting activists citing concerns over its potential impact on cross-border trade and travel.

Advice

Exercise increased caution near the impacted border crossing. Avoid any demonstrations that materialize due to possible violence. Depart the area at the first sign of any security disturbance. Allow additional travel time near gathering sites. Plan accordingly for possible localized business disruptions. Carry proper documentation at all times. Maintain contact with your diplomatic mission. Heed all official transport and security advisories.