12 Oct 2023 | 11:22 AM UTC
Mozambique: Increased security likely nationwide through mid-October following local elections /update 1
Increased security remains likely in Mozambique through mid-October awaiting elections results. Clashes reported.
Event
Mozambique is awaiting the results of its municipal elections in its 65 municipalities held on Oct. 11, with authorities likely to implement increased security measures through at least mid-October. Election day went along relatively peacefully, with minor delays reported in some localities. However, opposition parties have denounced alleged voting irregularities, and clashes between protesters and police were reported in Nampula early Oct. 12.
Authorities will likely maintain an increased level of security nationwide ahead of and in the days following the election results; it is unclear when the results will be announced. Measures may include the deployment of checkpoints, increased patrolling near urban centers, border restrictions, and implementation of curfews. Protests and clashes between Frelimo, Renamo, and MDM supporters, as well as with security forces, are likely. Protests are especially likely in opposition-controlled municipalities. Disruptions to urban and intercity road travel, business operations, and telecommunications are likely amid significant bouts of civil unrest or preemptive security operations.
Context
22 parties and civil society organizations were running for local mayoral and legislative positions. The ruling Liberation Front of Mozambique (Frelimo) currently controls 44 municipalities; the lead opposition, the Mozambican National Resistance (Renamo), has eight, including Nampula and Quelimane; and the Democratic Movement of Mozambique (MDM) one in Beira. The government created twelve new municipalities for the 2023 ballot.
Frelimo has won every national election since the end of the civil war, and besides some pockets of support for opposition parties, neither Renamo nor the MDM has proven able to challenge Frelimo. Elections have consistently been tainted with allegations of voter fraud by opposition parties and international observers. Election periods have consistently proven disruptive. Clashes between opposing supporters and with police are relatively common.
Advice
Exercise caution while operating in Mozambique. Avoid all gatherings, political events, and election-related activities, as well as concentrations of security forces. Exercise caution near police offices, and government buildings. If clashes break out, leave the area immediately and take shelter in a secure, nongovernmental building. Monitor local news for updates on possible curfews or information on road conditions, as protestors may not announce actions in advance. Heed the advice of local authorities. If encountering police checkpoints, do not attempt to bypass security without authorities' permission.
