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18 Jan 2024 | 06:51 AM UTC

Iran, Pakistan: Increased border tensions between Iran and Pakistan likely to persist through January

Increased border tensions between Iran and Pakistan likely through January. Further clashes and retaliatory attacks possible.

Informational

Cross-border violence along the Iran-Pakistan border will likely persist through late January. Tensions have increased since Jan. 16 after Iran launched missiles and drones into Pakistan's Balochistan Province to target strongholds of the Jaish ul-Adl militant group. Pakistani reports claim that two people died in the attack. In response, the Pakistani air force carried out retaliatory airstrikes near Saravan in Iran's Sistan and Baluchestan Province Jan. 18, which reportedly killed seven people. The Pakistani government has also recalled its ambassador to Iran and suspended all bilateral engagements with Iran following the attack.

Further retaliatory attacks, including drone and missile launches, in Iran and Pakistan's border areas are possible over the coming weeks. Officials could announce additional movement restrictions or evacuations in the Iran and Pakistan border region if clashes escalate. The movement of military personnel and checkpoints will also likely disrupt travel along primary and secondary road routes. Fighting could impact utilities, including power and water supply.

Consider avoiding nonessential travel near the Iran-Pakistan border until the situation stabilizes. Monitor local media and abide by security forces' directives. If incoming airstrikes or warning sirens sound in the general vicinity, report to the nearest bomb shelter and await further instructions from authorities. If there is no shelter nearby, stay indoors and away from windows and exterior walls. If possible, move to a ground floor or basement. Maintain contact with your diplomatic representation. Reconfirm the status of transport services before departure. Review and update contingency plans.