Myanmar: Silent strike to occur nationwide on anniversary of 2021 military coup Feb. 1

Activists have called for a nationwide "silent strike" across Myanmar 10:00-16:00 Feb. 1 to mark the anniversary of the 2021 military coup. Participants plan to stay in their homes and close businesses during the action. Authorities will likely impose heightened security measures, including deploying additional personnel nationwide, especially in urban centers like Yangon and Mandalay. Businesses and shops will probably close across the country. Transport disruptions are also possible; transport operators could provide limited services or suspend services altogether.

Pro-and anti-junta rallies may occur outside government buildings and at popular protest sites, such as public squares, monuments, and prominent intersections, during the strike. The largest protests are likely in major cities such as Yangon and Mandalay, where up to a few hundred activists could join rallies. Clashes between rival groups and security personnel be ruled out, especially if activists attempt to bypass security barriers or defy orders to disperse. Government security forces may resort to water cannons, tear gas, and rubber bullets. Protests and security responses will likely result in localized transport disruptions. Officials may disrupt telecommunication networks in anticipation of or as a response to any large or disruptive gatherings.

Bombings and shootings by urban militant groups could intensify. Attacks typically target security forces, government offices, or individuals and organizations supporting the military. Additional security personnel will probably deploy near the scene of any bombing or shooting incident. Increased security measures, including vehicle inspections and checkpoints, are also likely following any explosion.