19 Mar 2024 | 08:08 PM UTC
Pakistan: Political rallies likely to continue nationwide through at least mid-April /update 9
Political parties likely to stage rallies across Pakistan through at least mid-April; increased security, localized disruptions likely.
Political groups are likely to continue their ongoing series of rallies across Pakistan through at least mid-April following the nation's Feb. 8 general elections. Various political parties and coalitions, including the Pakistan Tehrik-e-Insaf (PTI), Awami National Party (ANP), Grand Democratic Alliance (GDA), Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam (F), and Tehrik-e-Labbaik Pakistan (TLP), have staged protests in several locations, including Karachi and Rawalpindi. Starting March 30, the PTI will launch a renewed nationwide protest campaign. As of late March 19, demonstration organizers were seeking permission to rally at either D-Chowk, F-9 Park, or Parade Ground. Additionally, some sources indicate that PTI activists are also considering holding a massive protest march and sit-in protest campaign after Eid al-Fitr, which will likely start on April 9 or April 10.
Although no other details were immediately available concerning additional gatherings, further demonstrations of varying types are highly likely over the coming days. Potential protest sites include prominent political party offices, government buildings, police stations, public squares, sports fields, press clubs, and thoroughfares. Larger rallies could draw hundreds of thousands of attendees.
Authorities will almost certainly maintain an increased security presence near such sites over the coming days. Officials suspended mobile telecommunications and internet services during and immediately following the general elections due to security concerns, in addition to imposing public gathering restrictions in several parts of the country, including the capital. The decision came after a surge of violence preceding the elections in certain restive areas of Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa provinces.
Attacks by militant groups, such as the Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA), are possible in the aftermath of the general elections, particularly in Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa provinces near the Afghanistan border. Officials could order the imposition of additional restrictions, including temporary public movement restrictions or further telecommunications curbs, depending on the severity of any perceived threats. Acts of intimidation and attacks on political party offices, candidates, and supporters remain possible over the short term. Localized transport and business disruptions are highly likely.
Exercise increased caution if operating in Pakistan. Avoid political party offices, political rallies, polling stations, and government buildings, where political unrest is most likely to occur. Prepare for heightened security, including roadblocks and identification checks. Plan accordingly for localized business disruptions. If a large mob begins forming, immediately leave the area or seek shelter in a secure, nongovernmental building. Monitor trusted media for updates on protests. Maintain contact with your diplomatic mission. Carry valid identification and heed instructions from security personnel.
