China, Pakistan: Rallies in Gilgit Baltistan likely to continue interrupting cross-border trade and travel through at least mid-August

Ongoing protests in Gilgit-Baltistan, Pakistan, are likely to continue disrupting cross-border trade and travel with neighboring Xinjiang, China, through at least mid-August. Recently, activists in Gilgit-Baltistan have staged disruptive sit-ins along a major section of the Karakoram Highway (National Highway 35) and outside the Sost Dry Port, affecting cross-border travel and trade near the Khunjerab Pass. The purpose of these actions is to address demands related to socioeconomic grievances.

Further demonstrations of varying types are likely in other parts of Gilgit-Baltistan over the coming days. Potential gathering sites include government buildings, transportation hubs, public squares, and thoroughfares. Participation will vary by location, with well-attended gatherings probably drawing thousands of participants.

Authorities will likely monitor any such gatherings and could use force to disperse overly unruly crowds. Officials in Gilgit-Baltistan could implement enhanced measures, including temporary public movement or telecommunications curbs, depending on operational needs. Clashes between police and activists cannot be ruled out. Further associated localized transport and business disruptions, including shipping delays, are highly likely.