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21 Oct 2024 | 03:10 PM UTC

Somalia: Heightened security, localized disruptions likely in Somaliland ahead of the Nov. 13 elections

Heightened security, localized disruptions likely in parts of northern Somalia during lead-up to Somaliland's Nov. 13 general elections.

Warning

Authorities in the self-proclaimed Republic of Somaliland will likely maintain an increased security posture through mid-November ahead of the region's Nov. 13 presidential and parliamentary elections. Campaign events have been ongoing in major urban areas, including Hargeisa, Berbera, Burao, Borama, Erigab, and Las Anod, since Oct. 19. The ruling Peace, Unity, and Development Party (also known as Kulmiye) will compete with the Justice and Development (UCID) and Waddani parties.

Security forces will almost certainly deploy to monitor all major election-related events. Localized traffic disruptions are likely near rallies. Authorities could move to disperse any gatherings they deem to be overly disruptive - particularly those organized by opposition parties. Tensions and associated protests could persist after the election if any accusations of irregularities emerge.

If operating in Somaliland, exercise increased personal vigilance for the duration of the election period. Avoid all demonstrations and associated gatherings due to the possibility of violence. Keep away from areas where security personnel appear to be deploying. If clashes break out nearby, take shelter in a safe non-governmental building. Monitor trusted local news sources for developments. Heed all instructions from security personnel and allow extra time to reach destinations near rally locations.

Political instability and postponed elections have affected Somaliland since 2022. Disagreements over the conduct of elections and presidential polls led to the postponement of the presidential election originally scheduled for November 2022. Opposition parties accused President Muse Bihi Abdi of attempting to prolong his term, resulting in a political deadlock. The situation worsened when the Upper House of Parliament controversially intervened and extended both its own and the president's terms by five years. This decision sparked widespread protests in August 2022, leading to six fatalities and numerous injuries.