South Korea: Domestic tensions, related disruptions likely to persist through at least early December despite revocation of martial law decree /update 2

Domestic tensions, heightened security, and related disruptions will likely persist in South Korea through at least early December despite the revocation of the nationwide emergency martial law decree that took effect on Dec. 4. President Yoon Suk Yeul initially declared martial law late Dec. 3 in a televised briefing, accusing the opposition of controlling parliament, aligning with North Korea, and hindering government functions through alleged anti-state activities. The announcement sparked disruptive demonstrations outside the National Assembly in Seoul, prompting the deployment of military personnel, who withdrew after the legislature unanimously blocked the presidential decree; Yoon subsequently retracted his declaration.

Tensions will likely continue due to concerns over reputed attempts by the military to arrest key opposition figures, including Lee Myung-bak, Woo Won-sik, and Han Dong-hoon; ongoing political divisions and the broader implications of the martial law declaration will also be a contributing factor. Additional protests are also likely in the coming days, with potential gathering sites including major government buildings, public squares, and busy thoroughfares. Such rallies could attract large turnouts if opposition political parties seek to mobilize grassroots support.

Authorities will likely maintain an enhanced security posture in parts of the country, particularly near government buildings in Seoul and other sensitive facilities. Isolated security incidents cannot be ruled out, and clashes between police and activists are possible. Associated localized disruptions to business and transportation are also likely.