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03 Dec 2024 | 06:27 PM UTC

South Korea: Domestic tensions, related disruptions likely to persist through at least early December /update 1

Tensions, tight security, related disruptions likely in South Korea through at least early December amid governmental dispute.

Critical

Domestic tensions, heightened security, and related disruptions will likely persist in South Korea through at least early December amid an ongoing standoff between the government's legislative and executive branches regarding President Yoon Suk Yeol's Dec. 3 emergency martial law decree. Yoon made the declaration in a televised briefing, accusing the opposition of controlling parliament, aligning with North Korea, and hindering government functions through alleged anti-state activities.

The announcement sparked demonstrations outside the National Assembly Building in Seoul, where activists blocked the building's main entrance. Military personnel deployed to contain the situation; however, troops reportedly withdrew shortly afterward when the legislature issued a unanimous decision blocking the presidential decree. It remains uncertain whether the executive branch will defy or override the parliamentary action and attempt to enforce the martial law order over the coming days.

As part of the initial martial law declaration, the government did not immediately outline specific measures to be implemented but confirmed that the Minister of National Defense had convened a meeting with key military commanders. The Minister of National Defense also ordered all forces to be on high alert.

Authorities will almost certainly maintain an enhanced security posture in parts of the country, particularly near government buildings in Seoul and at other sensitive facilities. Isolated security incidents cannot be ruled out. Further demonstrations are also possible in the coming days. Potential gathering sites include major government buildings, public squares, and busy thoroughfares. Such rallies could attract large turnouts if opposition political parties seek to mobilize grassroots support. Clashes between police and activists are possible, and localized disruptions to business and transportation are likely.

Exercise increased caution if operating in South Korea through at least early December. Avoid all demonstrations due to possible clashes. Keep away from locations where security personnel appear to be deploying, and leave the area at the first sign of any security disturbance. Allow additional travel time near gathering sites. Plan accordingly for potential localized business disruptions. Heed all official security and transport advisories. Maintain contact with diplomatic representations.

Martial law has been declared in South Korea several times throughout its history, often in response to political instability and threats to national security. The imposition of martial law during the 1980s was a reaction to widespread protests against authoritarian rule, which ultimately contributed to democratic reforms. President Yoon Suk Yeol's current declaration of emergency martial law follows accusations against the opposition party of undermining government functions and aligning with North Korea.