Vietnam: Typhoon Goni forecast to make landfall near Qui Nhon November 5

Event

Having caused widespread damage across Luzon Island in the Philippines on Sunday, November 1, Typhoon Goni is forecast to track across the South China Sea towards Vietnam over the coming days. On current forecasts, the storm system is expected to weaken into a tropical storm before making landfall over southern Vietnam near Qui Nhon (Binh Dinh province) on Thursday, November 5.

While the potential impact of the storm at this stage remains uncertain, it comes shortly after the passage last week of Typhoon Molave, the strongest storm to have hit the country in 20 years, which left more than 70 people dead. This is the latest in a series of storms to have hit the country in recent months and the previous devastation is likely to exacerbate the impact of Goni when it hits.

Strong winds, heavy rainfall, and associated flooding are expected in the coming days and will likely lead to disruptions to transport, businesses, and utilities.

Context

Powerful storm systems are common during the typhoon season from June to November and are known to particularly affect the North and Central regions. However, a number have also made landfall in the south in recent years due to changes to storms' common paths in the South China Sea. The monsoon season, which typically runs from May to September in the northern and southern regions as well as between October and April in the central region, also brings annual heavy downpours.

It should be noted that sustained torrential rain can trigger life-threatening floods and landslides in low-lying and hilly communities, including in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City. Storm surge is also a threat in coastal communities, especially upon the arrival of a storm. Inclement weather can result in disruption to travel, telecommunications, public utilities, commercial activities, and government services.

Advice

Those in affected areas are advised to monitor local weather reports, anticipate transportation disruptions, avoid areas directly affected by flooding, confirm road conditions before setting out, and adhere to instructions issued by local authorities, including evacuation orders. Avoid walking or driving through floodwaters.