16 Feb 2021 | 07:50 PM UTC
Niger: Heightened security likely, border closures possible during second round of presidential election slated for Feb. 21 /update 2
Niger to hold second round of presidential election Feb. 21. Increased security likely. Border closings possible.
Event
Authorities in Niger will probably maintain a tight security posture in the run-up to and during the Feb. 21 second round of the nation's presidential election. Security forces will most likely deploy near polling stations and national election commission facilities to prevent political violence, including militant attacks aimed at undermining the polls.
Tensions between the supporters of rival candidates and activists from opposing political groups could increase ahead of election day and may continue after the results are announced. Sporadic clashes are particularly possible in Niamey and other larger urban areas where election-day rallies will likely take place. Localized business and transport disruptions could occur during any demonstrations that may materialize, as well as on election day.
In addition to clashes among supporters of opposing political camps, militant groups could stage armed attacks on political rallies and polling stations in the run-up to election day in a bid to undermine the legitimacy of the polls. Militancy has been on the rise in Niger since at least 2016, with attacks on security personnel and civilians alike occurring in Niamey, near the borders with Burkina Faso and Mali, and in the southeast near Diffa, among other locations.
The government closed Niger's air, land, and river borders during the regional and municipal polls held on Dec. 13, 2020; although authorities have as yet made no official announcements to this effect, similar closures are possible during the Feb. 21 vote.
Advice
If operating in Niger, exercise increased vigilance through late February. Avoid all demonstrations due to the possibility of violence. Keep away from areas where security personnel appear to be deploying. If clashes break out nearby, take shelter in a safe, non-governmental building. Monitor trusted local news sources for developments. Heed all instructions from security personnel and allow additional travel time near gatherings. Reconfirm all land, air, and river travel before departure, including freight transportation.
