Myanmar: Activists likely to mark the anniversary of the 8888 Uprising nationwide Aug. 8

Event

Activists will likely mark the 34th anniversary of the 8888 Uprising and pro-democracy protests across Myanmar, Aug. 8. Associated demonstrations are probable, particularly due to the heightened tension following the February 2021 Myanmar military coup and the July execution of four pro-democracy activists. Likely action sites include prominent roadways, monuments, and public squares across the country. Dozens to hundreds of people may participate in each gathering. Explosions, especially those targeting security personnel and facilities, may occur in rural areas and urban centers, including Yangon, Mandalay, and Naypyidaw, Aug. 8. Some blasts in urban areas may cause collateral damage and civilian casualties. Armed clashes between the military and anti-coup activists or armed ethnic insurgent groups could also intensify.

Authorities will likely implement heightened security measures, including deploying additional personnel, nearby any rally or explosion sites. Localized transport and business disruptions are probable near event and demonstration venues or in the aftermath of an explosion. Activists often block streets near protest sites to limit the military personnel's mobility. Military and police personnel may attempt to disperse gatherings forcibly using water cannon, tear gas, rubber bullets, or live ammunition. Officials may disrupt telecommunication networks in anticipation of or in response to any large or disruptive protests, as well as in areas where clashes occur.

Context

The 8888 Uprising was a series of student-led pro-democracy demonstrations and strikes in Myanmar against one-party rule, prompting wide public support. The protests turned violent when the military opened fire on protesters, particularly in August 1988. A leading figure in the 8888 Uprising was former State Counselor Aung San Suu Kyi. In February 2021, the military junta detained Aung San Suu Kyi and other senior members of the National League for Democracy-led (NLD) democratically elected government on election fraud charges during the military coup. Activists have made connections between the 8888 Uprising and the current anti-coup movement, known locally as the Spring Revolution, as efforts to install democracy in the country.

Advice

Avoid any demonstrations Aug. 8 due to possible clashes. Monitor local developments closely, as rally organizers may not announce protest plans in advance. If a demonstration or clashes occur nearby, immediately leave the area, seek shelter at a safe, nongovernmental building, and stay away from windows. Plan for localized transport disruptions nearby any rallies. Remain polite and cooperative if stopped by security personnel for security checks. Heed all official security and traffic advisories.