Libya: Heightened security likely in Tripoli through at least late September /update 4

Event

The Libyan Government of National Unity (GNU) will likely maintain/deploy a heightened security posture in Tripoli in response to security assessments through at least late September amid continued tensions with militias loyal to the Government of National Stability (GNS) headed by Prime Minister Fathi Bashagha. Clashes have erupted regularly between rival militias in recent weeks, notably during the night of Aug. 27-28, when they killed at least 32 people and wounded over 159 others. The fighting on Aug. 27-28 included exchanges of small arms and heavy weapons fire in residential neighborhoods of the city; several hospitals and medical centers were also shelled, as were some government and private buildings. Clashes occurred in several areas of the Libyan capital, including near Al-Zawiyah, Bab Ben Ghashir, and Al-Suraim streets, with confrontations also reportedly having taken place in Janzour, immediately west of Tripoli.

Further confrontations between opposing groups cannot be ruled out over the coming days and weeks. Significant disruptions to business operations and government services are likely during any further troop deployments or fighting that may materialize. Mitiga International Airport (MJI) or individual airlines serving the facility could suspend operations with little-to-no notice depending on security developments.

Context

Libya is in a political stalemate as both the GNU's Abdulhamid al-Dbeibah and the GNS lay claim to the country's premiership. The two competing governments that they lead are jockeying for the country's centers of power and resources. This political division - in addition to the presence of foreign actors with competing interests - has complicated the country's security dynamics. So long as the political disunity continues, Libya will continue to suffer from clashes among rival militia groups in Tripoli and elsewhere in the country.

Advice

Avoid clashes and all areas where armed groups appear to be gathering. Should violence erupt, depart the area immediately and seek shelter in a secure location while staying away from windows and exterior walls. Plan for ground travel delays. Reconfirm all flights before departure. Maintain contact with diplomatic representations.