Arabian Peninsula: Adverse weather forecast across Bahrain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE through at least Jan. 27

Event

Heavy rainfall and thunderstorms are forecast across Bahrain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE through at least Jan. 27. Thunderstorms could be accompanied by strong wind gusts and lightning, as well as rough seas along the Red Sea and Persian gulf coasts.

The Meteorological Directorate of Bahrain has warned of heavy downpours and strong winds in the coming days due to a low-pressure system over the Arabian Peninsula and the Persian Gulf. The directorate has issued warnings for thundery rain and very strong wind gusts across the country through late Jan. 25.

The Qatar Department of Meteorology has forecast thunderstorms accompanied by heavy downpours and strong winds across central, northern, and western areas Jan. 25-26. The strong winds are expected to generate rough seas in coastal areas and marine warnings have been issued for Qatar's coastal waters Jan. 25.

The Saudi Arabia National Center for Meteorology has issued the following weather warnings across the country as of Jan. 25:

• Red heavy rain and thunderstorm warnings (the highest level on a three-tier scale): Parts of eastern Eastern Province.

• Orange heavy rain and thunderstorm warnings: Across Al Qassim, most of the rest of Eastern. and parts of central, eastern, and northeastern Riyadh provinces.

• Yellow heavy rain and thunderstorm warnings: Across Al Bhahah and Hail, most of Aseer and Mecca, and parts of eastern and northern Jazan, northern Medina, and central, northern, and northwestern Riyadh provinces.

The UAE's National Center of Meteorology has forecast unstable weather across much of the country Jan. 25-26, including thunderstorms, rainfall of varying intensity, a decrease in temperature, strong winds, dust storms, and rough seas. As of Jan. 25, orange and yellow warnings for convective clouds and associated rainfall, strong wind, and dust storms have been issued across northeastern, eastern, southern, and southwestern parts of the UAE.

Authorities will likely issue new alerts or update/rescind existing advisories as weather conditions change over the coming days.

Sustained heavy rainfall could trigger flooding in low-lying communities near rivers, streams, and creeks. Urban flooding is also possible in developed areas with easily overwhelmed or a lack of stormwater drainage systems. Sites located downstream from large reservoirs or rivers may be subject to flash flooding after relatively short periods of intense rainfall. Landslides are possible in hilly or mountainous areas, especially where the soil has become saturated by heavy rainfall.

Authorities may issue mandatory evacuation orders for flood-prone communities over the coming days. Disruptions to electricity and telecommunications services are possible where significant winds, flooding, and/or landslides impact utility networks.

Due to the arid nature of the region and poor stormwater management in some urban areas, even minor rainfall accumulations could quickly result in episodes of flash flooding. Flooding is possible in streams and wadis (dry riverbeds). Significant rainfall may be preceded by moderate winds and dust storms, though some areas - particularly desert areas - may experience high levels of dust without rain.

The severe weather could contribute to transport disruptions throughout the affected area. Floodwaters and debris flows could render some bridges, rail networks, or roadways impassable, impacting overland travel in and around affected areas. Traffic and commercial trucking delays might occur along regional highways. Authorities could temporarily close some low-lying routes that become inundated by floodwaters. Strong winds might also pose a hazard to high-profile vehicles.

Hazardous weather conditions might cause flight delays and cancellations at airports in the region. Flooding could block regional rail lines; freight and passenger train delays and cancellations are possible in areas that see heavy rainfall and potential track inundation.

Localized business disruptions may occur in low-lying areas; some businesses might not operate at full capacity because of flood damage to facilities, possible evacuations, and some employees' inability to reach work sites.

Advice

Seek updated information on weather and road conditions before driving through areas where severe weather is forecast. Plan accordingly for potential freight delivery delays if routing shipments by truck through the affected area. Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. Review contingency plans. Charge battery-powered devices in the case of prolonged electricity outages.

Resources

National Center for Meteorology - Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Bahrain Meteorological Directorate
Qatar Department of Meteorology
UAE National Center of Meteorology