14 Jun 2023 | 02:58 PM UTC
Brazil: Adverse weather forecast across eastern, northern, and southern regions through at least June 18
Heavy rainfall forecast across parts of Brazil through at least June 18. Flooding, landslides, and transport disruptions possible.
Event
Heavy rainfall is forecast across parts of eastern, northern, and southern Brazil through at least June 18. Heavy downpours could trigger flooding in low-lying areas and landslides on unstable slopes. Transport disruptions and power outages are also possible in affected areas.
As of June 14, Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (Inmet) has issued the following weather warnings across the affected area:
Orange (the middle level on a three-tier scale) warning for heavy rainfall: Parts of far northeastern Alagoas, eastern Mato Grosso do Sul, Parana, coastal Pernambuco, central and northern Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina, and central, southern, and western Sao Pulao states. Between 3-6 cm (1-2 inches) of rain per hour or 5-10 cm (2-4 inches) of rain per day are forecast in these orange warning areas.
Yellow warning for heavy rainfall: Across the rest of the affected area.
Officials could update and possibly extend the coverage of the relevant weather alerts over the coming days.
Hazardous Conditions
Sustained heavy rainfall could trigger further flooding in low-lying communities near rivers, streams, and creeks. In developed areas with easily overwhelmed stormwater drainage systems, additional urban flooding is also possible. Sites located downstream from large reservoirs or rivers may be subject to flash flooding after relatively short periods of intense rainfall. Landslides remain possible in hilly or mountainous areas, especially where heavy rainfall has saturated the soil. Power outages and disruptions to telecommunications services are likely where significant flooding, landslides, or strong winds impact utility networks.
Transport
Floodwaters and debris flows could render some bridges, rail networks, or roadways impassable, impacting overland travel in affected areas. Ponding on road surfaces could cause hazardous driving conditions on regional highways. Authorities could temporarily close some low-lying routes that become inundated by floodwaters.
Severe weather could also trigger intermittent flight delays and cancellations at airports in the affected regions, though these are unlikely to be severe or prolonged. Flooding could block regional rail lines; freight and passenger train delays and cancellations are possible in areas that see heavy rainfall and track inundation. Localized business disruptions may occur in low-lying areas.
Advice
Monitor local media for weather updates and related advisories. Confirm all transport reservations and business appointments before travel. Make allowances for localized travel delays and potential supply chain disruptions where flooding has been forecast. Do not drive on flooded roads. Charge battery-powered devices in the case of prolonged electricity outages.
