Myanmar: Official events marking Martyrs' Day to occur nationwide July 19

Event

Myanmar will mark the 76th Martyrs' Day, a nationwide public holiday, July 19. Large official events will probably occur in Naypyidaw and Yangon, where a ceremony will likely take place at the Martyrs' Mausoleum. Government office and business closures are probable July 19.

Anti-junta activists could stage demonstrations across the country, especially in major cities like Yangon, July 19 to denounce the 2021 military coup. Rallies will probably occur near ceremony sites, government buildings, monuments, and public squares. Dozens to hundreds of people may participate in each gathering. Explosions, especially those targeting security personnel and facilities, may occur in rural areas and urban centers, including Yangon, Mandalay, and Naypyidaw, July 19. Some blasts in urban areas may cause collateral damage and civilian casualties. Armed clashes between the military and anti-coup activists or armed ethnic insurgent groups could also intensify.

Authorities will likely implement heightened security measures at ceremony locations and nearby any rally or explosion sites. Localized transport and business disruptions are probable near event and demonstration venues or in the aftermath of an explosion. Local officials in Yangon could close some roads to facilitate security protocols nearby ceremony locations. Military and police personnel may attempt to disperse gatherings forcibly using water cannon, tear gas, rubber bullets, or live ammunition. Officials may disrupt telecommunication networks in anticipation of or in response to any large or disruptive protests, as well as in areas where clashes occur.

Context

Martyrs' Day commemorates the 1947 assassination of General Aung San and other leaders of the independence movement. General Aung San is the father of former State Counselor Aung San Suu Kyi, who was detained along with other senior members of the National League for Democracy-led (NLD) democratically elected government on election fraud charges during the military coup in February 2021. Despite calls for cooperation and an end to the violence from ASEAN and other international organizations, it is unlikely that such efforts will lead to immediate progress.

Advice

Avoid any event and demonstration sites July 19 due to possible clashes. Monitor local developments closely, as rally organizers may not announce protest plans in advance. If a demonstration or clashes occur nearby, immediately leave the area, seek shelter at a safe, nongovernment building, and stay away from windows. Plan for localized transport disruptions nearby ceremonies and rallies. Remain polite and cooperative if stopped by security personnel for security checks. Heed all official security and traffic advisories. Confirm all official and business appointments July 19.