11 Jul 2024 | 01:04 PM UTC
Bangladesh: Ongoing gas supply shortages likely to persist nationwide through at least late July
Ongoing gas shortages likely to continue across Bangladesh through late July. Disruptions likely; protests possible.
Gas supply shortages are likely to persist across Bangladesh through at least late July, driven by an ongoing crisis worsened by weather-related damage to a critical Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) facility in Chattogram. Recent days have seen heightened load-shedding and power cuts affecting various businesses and essential services. The government could implement austerity measures to conserve energy.
Interruptions at gas-dependent power plants could cause load shedding in several areas. Temporary commercial, communications, and transport disruptions could occur during power outages; cellular and mobile service disruptions are also possible. Businesses without backup generators may have to suspend operations. Blackouts could also temporarily stop functioning certain essential facilities, such as ATMs and fueling stations. Potable water supply interruptions may occur in locations dependent on electronic water filtration or pump systems.
Although there were no immediate announcements for such gatherings, related demonstrations could occur over the coming weeks. Prominent gathering sites include gas stations, utility offices, government buildings, public squares, and thoroughfares. Well-attended gatherings may attract thousands of participants.
Authorities will likely monitor any such gatherings that materialize. Officials could use force to disperse overly unruly crowds. Clashes between police and activists, as well as between supporters of opposing rival camps, cannot be ruled out.
Plan for potential commercial disruptions. Seek alternative energy sources for operations to the extent possible. Conserve gas and electricity. Charge all communication and portable electronic devices when possible. Unplug electronic equipment that is not connected to surge protectors. Exercise caution when driving in affected areas. Verify that security systems are working, including after power resumes. Ensure that generators are functional if operating in affected areas. Avoid protests due to possible violence. If clashes break out, leave the area immediately. Allow additional travel time near gatherings. Follow all security personnel instructions. Monitor trusted local media for updates on supply restoration and protest plans, as they may not be announced in advance.
Bangladesh faces ongoing gas supply shortages, particularly impacting new gas-fired power plants. Experts contend that the shortages stem from heavy government subsidies and slow-moving reforms in the energy sector, among other issues. Despite recent attempts at deregulation and low Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) prices, supply constraints persist, potentially leaving new plants underutilized. The situation is exacerbated by the closure of CNG stations and the need for gas rationing, further highlighting the challenges in meeting the country's energy demands.
