06 Aug 2024 | 02:20 PM UTC
Bangladesh: Nationwide tensions and unrest likely to persist through at least mid-August /update 20
Further rallies, tensions, related disruptions likely in Bangladesh through August after parliament dissolved, military leaders overhaul.
Further rallies and related disruptions are likely to continue nationwide through at least mid-August. On Aug. 5, former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina resigned and departed the country following a massive protest march led by student activists toward the capital amid a prolonged nationwide curfew and violent unrest. As of late Aug. 6, authorities have dissolved the parliament and implemented a significant reorganization of the Bangladesh Army's leadership, including the removal of Major General Ziaul Ahsan. Dr. Muhammad Yunus, a Nobel laureate and founder of Grameen Bank, will lead the interim government as its chief adviser; Dr. Yunus was previously sentenced to six months in prison for allegedly violating labor laws, which he claims were politically motivated.
Officials have also released several political prisoners, including opposition Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) leader Khaleda Zia. Additionally, the Bangladesh Police Service Association (BPSA) has initiated an indefinite nationwide strike to demand the safety of security personnel following purported targeted attacks on 450 police stations and the killing of several officers on Aug. 5. Some reports suggest that student activists have attempted to manage traffic in various parts of Dhaka and Bogura District amid the walkout, which could potentially fuel further unrest between activists and law enforcement officials.
Violent demonstrations and isolated security incidents, including arson, looting, and vandalism, continue to occur sporadically across the country. Reports suggest that such attacks have targeted cultural venues, television channel offices, and government buildings, including the prime minister's residence and parliament. Sources also indicate that activists have targeted political party offices and residences affiliated with the Awami League (AL) party in Dhaka and other urban centers nationwide. Violence against minority groups cannot be ruled out.
The unrest has led countries like Australia, Canada, the US, and the UK to advise against all or nonessential travel to Bangladesh until further notice.
Security Measures
As of late Aug. 6, an indefinite nationwide curfew will reportedly be in effect 00:01-06:00 until Aug. 7. From Aug. 7, all educational institutions will reopen across the country. Authorities have mostly restored internet and mobile services since Aug. 5; some minor disruptions are possible. Authorities will likely maintain an increased security presence across Bangladesh, with heightened measures near public facilities and military installations. Further restrictions are also possible.
Transport Disruptions
The country's borders remain open amid increased security in the border areas. Flights have resumed at Dhaka's Hazrat Shahjalal International Airport (DAC) and Sylhet's Osmani International Airport (ZYL) as of Aug. 6 following a six-hour closure on Aug. 5; officials may reimpose further closures at short notice if significant unrest recurs.
At DAC, some carriers, including Emirates (EK) and Flydubai (FZ), have revised flight schedules. As of late Aug. 6, Air India (AI) will operate some scheduled flights from Dhaka, and Air Vistara (UK) will resume operations from Aug. 7. Additional flight disruptions, including delays and cancellations, could occur.
The unrest has caused significant disruptions to passenger and freight rail services and vehicular traffic, especially within, to, and from Dhaka. Rail services, including the international rail link with India, are suspended until further notice. Heightened security protocols and prolonged/recurrent border closures may affect the movement of goods and people through land ports.
Business and utility disruptions
Business closures due to official holidays, internet unavailability, and employees' difficulties in reaching workplaces are likely to persist. While authorities have mostly restored mobile and broadband internet services, disruptions to financial services, such as financial transactions, remain possible. Diplomatic facilities, including the US Embassy, may announce suspensions or curtailment of services, especially in response to planned or ongoing large rallies.
Remain in a secure location until the situation stabilizes. Avoid all public gatherings due to the potential for increased violence. Depart the area at the first sign of any security disturbance. Confirm ground transport and flight arrangements before departure; do not check out of accommodations without confirming onward travel. Do not attempt to navigate any roadblocks, as protesters could attack vehicles. Plan accordingly for business disruptions. Heed all official instructions, including curfew orders, security and traffic advisories. Maintain contact with diplomatic representations.
Student-led protests in Bangladesh, which began in early July with demands to abolish government job quotas, have escalated into a broader movement against former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina's government. Despite a Supreme Court ruling that ended most job quotas, unrest has continued across major cities, particularly Dhaka. The government's response, which included nationwide curfews, internet shutdowns, and military deployment, have led to reports of over 300 deaths and thousands of injuries.
On Aug. 5, amid increasing pressure, Hasina resigned and departed the country following protests that involved the storming of her official residence, marking the conclusion of her 15-year tenure. The military has announced plans to establish an interim government, and discussions are expected between student leaders and military representatives regarding the transition. As Bangladesh navigates this political situation, further instability and unrest may occur in the coming weeks as various parties seek to address the power vacuum and form a new government.
