18 Sep 2024 | 07:03 PM UTC
Bangladesh: Further protests and related disruptions likely nationwide through at least early October /update 25
Additional rallies, disruptions likely in Bangladesh through early October as interim government stabilizes. Exercise increased caution.
Further rallies and related disruptions are likely across Bangladesh through at least early October as the interim government works to stabilize the country following the ouster of long-time Prime Minister and Awami League (AL) leader Sheikh Hasina. On Sept. 17, the interim government granted commissioned officers in the Bangladesh Army executive magistrate powers for 60 days. Under the Criminal Procedural Code (CrPC) of 1898, the move empowers the officers with expanded authority to detain suspects, issue arrest warrants, search for evidence, rescue individuals from illegal detention, disperse illegal gatherings, enforce arrest warrants beyond their usual jurisdictions, and take other actions to maintain public order.
The decision likely comes in response to several weeks of heightened civil unrest and tensions across the country. Reports also suggest that inmates have escaped from multiple prisons in recent months, with approximately 1,332 prisoners recaptured and about 909 still at large. The escape of prisoners could lead to increased security risks, including potential targeted attacks and a rise in criminal activity.
Civil Unrest/Violence
In recent weeks, activists have organized various demonstrations, including strikes and road blocks. Political parties, including the AL, will probably hold sporadic rallies to demand that Hasina be returned to office; several AL leaders and family members have reportedly been killed in violent incidents. Minority groups, including Hindus, have staged demonstrations following targeted attacks at various residences, businesses, and places of worship.
Unionized workers from several sectors have organized numerous gatherings and walkouts. Future demonstrations will likely attract large crowds, especially near transportation hubs, public squares, and major intersections. Sporadic security incidents, such as arson, looting, and vandalism, continue to target cultural sites, media offices, government buildings, and Awami League offices and leaders' residences. Political tensions will likely intensify.
Security Measures
As a precaution, increased security measures, including cordons and traffic restrictions, are likely in place at government, state-funded, and security installations. Checkpoints will almost certainly continue at entry points to major cities, as well as at air and sea ports. The unrest has led countries like Australia, Canada, the US, and the UK to advise their citizens to reconsider travel to Bangladesh until further notice.
Transport Disruptions
Borders remain open with heightened security, and Bangladesh Railway has resumed full services. Inter-district and long-distance bus services in Dhaka are limited, while flights are operating at Dhaka's Hazrat Shahjalal International Airport (DAC) and Sylhet's Osmani International Airport (ZYL). Minor flight disruptions may occur and officials could close airports at short notice if unrest escalates.
The Indian Border Security Force (BSF) has increased personnel in some neighboring northeastern states due to concerns about spillover violence and an influx of individuals crossing the border. While trade has resumed at most border crossings, heightened security measures could delay the movement of goods and people at land ports.
Business and Utility Disruptions
Banking disruptions could occur if sporadic protest activity persists. The US Embassy in Dhaka has resumed providing certain routine consular services. Other diplomatic facilities may suspend or curtail services depending on the local security situation.
Avoid all public gatherings due to the potential for increased violence. Depart the area at the first sign of any security disturbance. Confirm ground transport and flight arrangements before departure; do not check out of accommodations without confirming onward travel. Do not attempt to navigate any roadblocks, as protesters could attack vehicles. Plan accordingly for business disruptions. Heed all official instructions, including curfew orders, security and traffic advisories. Maintain contact with diplomatic representations.
In recent days, the frequency of nationwide demonstrations has decreased and operational disruptions will likely ease overall as the interim government stabilizes. The country is navigating political uncertainty following weeks of widespread protests. Initially spearheaded by university students, these demonstrations emerged in response to a controversial job quota system in government recruitment that allocates a significant portion of public sector jobs to descendants of veterans from the 1971 Liberation War.
The unrest peaked when Prime Minister Hasina resigned and fled the country after her residence was stormed, ending her 15-year tenure. An interim government led by Muhammad Yunus was subsequently inaugurated, with military officials engaging in transition discussions with student leaders. According to the constitution, elections must occur within 90 days of the dissolution of parliament; any delays in this timeline could potentially provoke further unrest.
