Bolivia: Activists likely to maintain road blockades in multiple locations nationwide through at least mid-November /update 3

Activists and supporters of former President Evo Morales will probably maintain existing road blockades and build additional ones on major highways across Bolivia through at least mid-November. Major clashes between demonstrators and security forces are likely. As of Nov. 1, related protests are occurring across the country, including in Chuquisaca, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosi, and Santa Cruz departments. Since late October, the government has made a concerted effort to clear the roadblocks, and protesters manning the barricades have sometimes thrown explosives and fired rifles at police; additional armed attacks targeting security forces cannot be ruled out.

Protests are also likely to intensify following an Oct. 27 incident in which Morales stated he was the target of an assassination attempt while traveling near Villa Tunari in Cochabamba Department. The government has suggested that there was no genuine attempt on Morales' life; however, his supporters stormed a military compound in Chimore following news of the attack.

Authorities will almost certainly deploy additional security personnel on major roadways to monitor and track all related events. Officials could also impose additional restrictions or deploy military or police personnel in response to the unrest. In addition to setting up and maintaining roadblocks, protesters could gather on other routes or near prominent demonstration sites across the country, such as government buildings, city centers, and plazas. The actions are likely to result in disruptions to road travel. Depending on the locations of the roadblocks, deliveries of essential goods may be delayed.