Bangladesh: Ongoing power supply shortages likely to persist nationwide through at least late July

Event

Ongoing power supply shortages are likely to continue nationwide through at least late July due to an energy crisis and severe heat. Primarily impacted areas include Barishal, Cumilla, Dhaka, Mymensingh, Rajshahi, Rangpur, and Sylhet. In recent weeks, officials have reduced daily energy production and extended load-shedding schedules, especially in Dhaka. Authorities may enact additional austerity measures, including reduced business hours for retail spaces, if the ongoing shortages persist.

Related demonstrations of varying types may occur over the coming weeks. Typical gathering venues include electricity provider offices, power stations, government buildings, and major thoroughfares. Authorities will almost certainly monitor any such gatherings and move to disperse overly disruptive crowds. Clashes between police and activists, as well as between supporters of opposing rival groups, cannot be ruled out. Larger demonstrations may result in associated localized transport and business disruptions.

Transport disruptions due to malfunctioning traffic signals or electrical rail infrastructure are also possible during periods of load shedding. Temporary commercial and communications disruptions, including cellular service disruptions, may also occur during power outages. Government buildings and large businesses that generally rely on private generators are unlikely to be directly affected by outages; however, authorities may force smaller businesses to shut down. Essential services such as ATMs and petrol stations may also temporarily cease to operate during load-shedding periods. Disruptions to the potable water supply are likely in areas dependent on electronic water filtration systems.

There is an increased security risk as a result of power outages. Blackouts could adversely affect security protocols, including alarm systems and electronic fences; opportunistic criminal activity could increase during electricity outages.

Advice

Plan accordingly for potential prolonged commercial disruptions. Conserve gas and electricity. Charge all communication and portable electronic devices when possible. Unplug electronic equipment that is not connected to surge protectors. Exercise caution when driving in areas affected by load shedding. Verify that security systems are working, including after power resumes. Ensure that generators are functional and properly fueled. Avoid all demonstrations due to possible violence. If clashes break out, leave the area immediately. Allow additional travel time near gatherings. Heed all official transport and security advisories.